Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends: Nov 8, 2028
39%chance▼ 18 pts
60%50%40%30%20%
Jul 19 ’25Nov 12 ’25Mar 9 ’26Jul 4 ’26Oct 28 ’26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39%
YES
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.